from Outstanding Investor Digest's August 8, 1996 edition
CUNDILL VALUE & CUNDILL SECURITY
FUND'S
PETER CUNDILL & TIM MCELVAINE
(continued from preceding
page)
A BUSINESS WITH AN AVERAGE ROE
OF 30%
AT 75% OF BOOK (NET OF LIQUID ASSETS).
OID: It sounds like you'd give
Reitman's a high grade for capital allocation. What kind of
grade would you give them as operating
managers?
McElvaine: Many people
would correctly suggest that they're not the most dynamic
retailer in Canada...
OID: Only one of their many virtues, I
imagine.
McElvaine: Exactly. You
don't have to have a wonderful concept to have a neat little
business. In fact, a retailer can be a very good business --
especially if they're not in the midst of rampant
expansion.
There are many segments
within the retail industry. Most retail analysts may tend to
have a little higher income than most retail customers. So
they may be more inclined to like exciting concepts. In
contrast, the typical customer might prefer a better price
to a flashy store. Or, at least, I think that's true of
Reitman's customers.
And I know I certainly
prefer it as a shareholder.
OID: Speaking of shareholders, what
kind of returns has Reitman's earned on shareholder
equity?
McElvaine: Their
returns within their retail segment are quite high. Here's a
breakdown of their sales, earnings and returns in that
segment for their last five fiscal years (ending January
31st):
REITMAN'S STORES
(C$millions unless otherwise noted)
|
Fiscal
|
|
Earnings
|
Earnings
|
Book
|
Return
|
|
Year1
|
Revenues
|
Pretax
|
After tax
|
Value2
|
on Equity3
|
|
1992
|
298.6
|
10.1
|
7.0
|
21.5
|
32.8%
|
|
1993
|
317.9
|
13.3
|
9.4
|
14.8
|
63.8
|
|
1994
|
339.5
|
14.0
|
9.7
|
20.7
|
47.0
|
|
1995
|
333.3
|
8.3
|
6.3
|
15.0
|
41.7
|
|
1996
|
349.9
|
(0.6)
|
(0.6)
|
28.6
|
(2.2)
|
|
Avg.
|
|
|
|
|
31.7%
|
1Fiscal year ending January
31st.
2Beginning of year book value.
3Return on beginning of year book value.
McElvaine: As you can
see, for the last five years, that segment's return on
beginning of year equity has averaged more than 30%.
OID:
Wow.
McElvaine: And that's
even including 1996 -- which was anything but typical. Their
retail segment nearly achieved break-even even then. It only
lost $600,000 in a horrible year for the industry in
general.
OID: Are those kinds of returns -- or
anything approaching them --
sustainable?
McElvaine: I have no
idea. We look at it differently. As of January 31, 1996,
Reitman's had working capital of C$34 million, payables of
C$27 million and capital assets of C$30 million. So assets
invested in that segment totaled about C$37 million. But, as
I mentioned, netting out their cash and marketable
securities and their stake in NetStar, we're effectively
buying it for only C$27 or C$28 million. So we're not even
paying book value for the business.
OID: Net of cash, you're paying about
75% of book.
McElvaine: The stock
market's appraisal of Reitman's business is less than the
net assets it has in the business -- as you say, 25% less.
Therefore, our returns are higher.
In other words, even if
they were only to earn 10% on equity going forward, we'd be
fine -- because that would be equivalent to someone buying a
company at book value that was earning 13.3% on
equity.
OID: In the first year at
least.
McElvaine: That's
right. However, my point is that even though Reitman's
return on beginning equity in that segment has averaged more
than 30% in the last five years, by no means are we counting
on its continuation.
Page 21 of 27
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