from Outstanding Investor Digest's August 8, 1996 edition
CUNDILL VALUE & CUNDILL SECURITY
FUND'S
PETER CUNDILL & TIM MCELVAINE
(continued from preceding
page)
NOW WOULD BE A GOOD TIME TO
BUY NET-NETS.
UNFORTUNATELY, THERE AREN'T MANY AROUND.
OID: And Gendis [GDS.A/Can]?
Cundill: It's a net-net
-- and it's still a bargain. And there are three bets to it:
First, Gendis has cash. Second, they have an oil and gas
company -- Chauvco Resources -- with reserves in Canada and
Argentina. And, third, its stock price has come
down.
McElvaine: And the
value of the Chauvco stake alone more than covers the
current stock price.
Cundill: That's right.
However, the open question is the value of their retail
operations and whether they'll be able to turn it around or
stop the bleeding.
OID: And the answer?
Cundill: Well, we've
actually been buying a lot of these small retailers in
Canada -- and in the U.S. as well. And the Canadian
retail scene is probably generally more difficult -- or
should I say more desperate -- than it's been in the
U.S. And the U.S. hasn't been easy
either.
But the challenge is to
identify the survivors. And Gendis is a net-net right now
-- a classic one, in fact. But it's deteriorating. So
there are some question marks.
[Editor's note: FYI, Cundill informed us
that their average cost for Gendis had been north of C$12.
When we spoke, (and as we go to press,) it was around
C$8.]
OID: What percentage of the time in
your experience have net-nets tended to deteriorate --
typically?
Cundill: Well, if
you're lucky, when you buy them, they'd be beginning to
improve. But that doesn't happen all the
time.
It depends on the
economic environment largely. In 1975, companies were coming
out of a bad 1974. So things were getting better. So you
were not only buying net-nets, but you were getting good
franchises to boot. And, meanwhile, the environment was
getting better.
OID: Bill Ruane and Bob Schwerin say
the experience positively spoiled them.
Cundill: There was a
change in 1990. Economic conditions in all of these really
cheap things deteriorated so fast that in many instances
where we thought we had a margin of safety, it got eaten up
big-time and quickly.
OID: And today?
Cundill: Funnily
enough, I think we're in a more benign mode today -- which
probably bodes well. An awful lot of good things have
happened in America.
OID: It sounds like you think this
might be a particularly good environment for net-nets.
Cundill: That's right.
Unfortunately, there aren't many of them around. However,
the retail area has been one of the few exceptions. And I'm
not exactly sure why. Maybe there are just too many
stores.
Let me have Tim tell
you about a couple of ideas in that area.
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