from Outstanding Investor Digest's August 8, 1996 edition
CUNDILL VALUE & CUNDILL SECURITY
FUND'S
PETER CUNDILL & TIM MCELVAINE
(continued from preceding
page)
NORD EST IS SELLING BELOW NET
CASH
AND RIGHT AT 3 TIMES PEAK EARNINGS....
OID: Any others?
McElvaine: Nord Est
[NORP.PA/Fr] is an interesting one. It trades at around
FF130 per share. And I know you'll be pleased to know that
our average cost is around FF138 and that we've paid up to
FF140.
OID: A good start. Tell us about
it.
Cundill: It's basically
a holding company controlled by Paribas -- which owns
roughly 42% of its 14-odd million shares. Nord Est has sold
off a number of its holdings. So it's now left with a
packaging business plus cash. And it's trading below net
cash. So you get the packaging business for nothing.
OID: And the fundamentals?
McElvaine: We estimate
that Nord Est's book value is about FF180 and that its NAV
is FF190 as of year end.
OID: What's so exciting about
that?
Cundill: Two things:
First, it's basically trading at less than net-net -- again,
with most of that net-net being cash.
OID: And you don't think it always
will.
Cundill: Not at all.
Second, I talked to the guy at Paribas who has
responsibility for the Nord Est file. And he said, "We've
done all of the tough work. We're continuing to tidy it up.
And sometime in the near future," although he didn't put a
time frame certain on it, he said, "we'll try to figure out
what we'll do -- whether we'll sell it, make an acquisition
or dividend out the cash. It's been cleaned up quite a bit
already. And by the time we're done, it'll be cleaned up a
lot more."
OID: Meaning?
McElvaine: Meaning that
Nord Est owns shares in a number of investment companies
that will be liquidated during the next couple of
years.
OID: And you base that on...
McElvaine: On the fact
that Paribas owns about 42% of Nord Est and that this is the
type of asset that Paribas has been shedding -- i.e.,
non-financial.
But, actually, we don't
have a tremendous amount of information on Nord
Est...
OID: You invest that way, too?!
McElvaine: It's not
available. However, from what we've been able to determine,
totaling the NAV of the investment companies they own plus
their net cash gives them an estimated total NAV of FF130
per share.
OID: Which is right at the current
share price.
McElvaine: Correct.
Then you're left with a significant packaging company --
Emballage -- with about FF2.2 billion of sales in a number
of different businesses including manufacturing cardboard
and sample cases for perfumes and cosmetics.
OID: Or FF156 per share of sales for
free.
McElvaine: Exactly. And
aside from that business, Nord Est is extremely liquid.
About FF40 is in cash. Another FF10 is in a company that
holds some warehouses and industrial sites that will be
liquidated over time. And then another FF60 is in various
investment companies that we value at net asset value
-- i.e., what they could be liquidated for today
(which, incidentally, is the company's stated
intention).
And then they have
another FF20 in other assets -- although we're not entirely
sure what they are. But we've been told that they'll be
converted into cash at a price similar to their carrying
value.
OID: Gotcha.
McElvaine: And Nord
Est's management says that they'd like to use that cash to
focus more on the packaging business and to make
acquisitions in that area.
OID: Save the negatives for last.
McElvaine: It may not
be a negative at all. The guy who is now running Nord Est
used to be in charge of Reynaud's international operations.
So we're just watching with curiosity. But, again, we own it
for free.
OID: And you're hoping management
won't prove it to be worth less than nothing.
McElvaine: Yep. Some
might say we're betting on this guy's ability to deploy cash
in a reasonable manner. And I wouldn't necessarily disagree.
That certainly isn't a risk that one should feel
particularly comfortable taking.
However, we figure he could overpay by 100% for any businesses he acquires and
we'd still wind up with an NAV equal to the current stock
price.
OID: There's that good old margin of
safety again.
Cundill: Yes.
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