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from Outstanding Investor Digest's August 8, 1996 edition
CUNDILL VALUE & CUNDILL SECURITY FUND'S
PETER CUNDILL & TIM MCELVAINE
(continued from preceding
page)
WITH SILVER, YOU GET A GOOD INVESTMENT
AND AN INFLATION HEDGE THROWN IN FOR FREE.
Below production cost, silver was a value play, too.
Shareholder: I've heard you talk about commodities
-- which don't quite fit into a balance sheet scenario. And you've talked
about silver in the past. I was just wondering if you could give us an update.
Cundill: The silver position has been a long one for us. I think
we bought our first position about $4 U.S.... We had a very low cost. And
we've seen it go up to $6.50 and then down to about $5.35.
The rationale for our silver purchase was that it was analogous
to buying a $1 bill for 50¢. We felt then -- and still do, although
not quite as strongly -- that at $4.40, essentially, silver was trading
below its cost of production.
I always thought the cost of production was
around $6.50. But there have been a couple of U.S. mines that have gone
back into production at $5.35 -- Sunshine and Hecla, I think. One of them
[Sunshine] may also have its own refinery. So its cost equation may be a
little different.
Demand has exceeded supply for five or more years now.
Cundill: Another characteristic of silver has
been that the demand for silver, unlike gold, has been exceeding supply
for five years now anyway. Some mines have gone out of business. And new
mines have begun to produce. Essentially, silver is a by-product. And the
supply-demand characteristic seems to be very much in our favor.
 [Editor's note: They showed us the figures.
And they're actually quite striking. But pages didn't allow....]
Cundill: I'm surprised silver hasn't been doing
better -- [especially since] you're not paying anything for the hedge against
inflation. Barton Biggs is quoted in The Wall Street Journal about buying
gold as an inflation hedge. But I'm inclined to think you're not paying
anything for the hedge with silver. Because of the industrial dynamics,
you get it for nothing.
It's unusual. But we take the stance that,
in fact, it is a $1 bill for 50¢. We haven't done anything [in it recently].
I think silver is around $5.42 U.S. But if it got below $5, then we'd probably
add to our position.
[Editor's note: It did -- and, they inform
us, they did (primarily by way of silver futures, incidentally).
Page 8 of 27
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1996-2008 Outstanding Investor Digest, Inc. All rights reserved.
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