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from Outstanding Investor Digest's July 31, 2000 Edition
LONGLEAF PARTNERS FUNDS'
MASON HAWKINS, C.T. FITZPATRICK & STALEY CATES
(continued from preceding page)
OUR HOLDINGS ARE INCREDIBLY CHEAP
- IN FACT, UNPRECEDENTEDLY SO.
Serious undervaluation and buybacks go hand in hand.
Staley Cates: There are two things that I'd like to
discuss today that are unprecedented in the history of our funds: And they are, #1, the
degree of undervaluation at present across the board in our portfolios and, #2, the
magnitude of share repurchases by almost all of our companies in
Longleaf Partners Fund and
the great majority of companies across all four funds.
As you can imagine, these two things go hand in hand - because if
you're a CEO and your company's stock is selling at 50¢ on the dollar, it's hard to beat
buying your own shares in. I'll get to that math in a second. But the final thing I'd
like to go over is what our companies are doing to get these values realized.
Our flagship's price-to-value ratio is unprecedented.
Cates: As you know, we go to great lengths to appraise our
businesses based on their net assets, their discounted free cash flows and comparable
transactions. Every month, we then aggregate those appraised values and compute an average
price-to-value ratio for the portfolio as a whole....
Over the long term, our composite [price-to-value] ratio has
averaged slightly less than 70%.... That should make intuitive sense - because
we buy companies at no more than 60% of value. And usually, we still own a handful
that may have risen to, say, 80-90% of value - positions that are still holds. So you
can see how our average might tend to be around 70%.
Right now, we are actually at an average price-to-value of just over
50% ... [which is way] out-of-whack historically. That's a remarkable number
because usually we're happy to buy a superior company with great management at 60% of
value. And if one comes along at 50%, we're ecstatic. Even to have three or
four new ideas per year at 50% of value instead of 60% is something that we've never
seen. And usually, three or four new names per year are enough to satisfy a full year
of demand. So for the whole portfolio on average to trade at just over 50% of value
is simply unprecedented.
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