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TWEEDY, BROWNE COMPANY L.P.
What Has Worked in Investing
(continued from preceding
page)
Table 17:
Small is Better: Annual Investment Returns for Low versus High Price/Earnings Ratio
Stocks within Market Capitalization Categories for the 20 1/2-Year Period
ended October 31, 1989
Price/Earnings Ratio Category
|
Market
Cap
Category
1 (Smallest)
2
3
4
5 (Largest)
|
Average
Market Cap
October 31,1989
(Millions)
$46
127
360
1,031
5,974
|
(Lowest P/E)
1
18.0%
15.7
17.0
13.8
13.0
|
2
15.3%
13.7
15.1
12.9
12.4
|
3
10.2%
10.0
10.6
10.3
9.1
|
4
7.0%
6.5
7.4
8.5
10.5
|
(Highest P/E)
5
4.1%
7.4
8.2
7.1
8.7
|
One million dollars invested in the lowest price/earnings ratio companies within the lowest market
capitalization group in 1969 would have increased to $29,756,500 on October 31, 1989. By comparison,
$1,000,000 invested in the highest price/earnings ratio companies within the smallest
market capitalization group would have increased to $2,279,000 over this 20 1/2-year period.
One million dollars invested in the largest market capitalization, lowest price/earnings ratio
group over this period would have increased to $12,272,000.
Five-Year Holding Period Year-By-Year Investment Returns for Low Price to Earnings Companies as Compared to High Price to Earnings Companies
Josef Lakonishok, Robert W. Vishny and Andrei Shleifer examined the effect of price/earnings
ratios on investment returns in Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation and Risk, Working
Paper No. 4360, National Bureau of Economic Research, May 1993. The professors ranked all
companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the American Stock Exchange according
to price/earnings ratios and sorted the companies into deciles. Portfolios were initially formed
on April 30, 1968 and new portfolios were formed on each subsequent April 30. The study
period ended on April 30, 1990. The decile portfolios were held for five years and the average
annual year-by-year investment returns, the average annual five-year returns and the average
cumulative total five-year returns were calculated. The investment returns were equal-weighted.
Table 18 shows the results of the study.
Page 19 of 42
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