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TWEEDY, BROWNE COMPANY L.P.
What Has Worked in Investing
(continued from preceding page)


The mean return from net current asset stocks for the 13-year period was 29.4% per year versus 11.5% per year for the NYSE-AMEX Index. One million dollars invested in the net current asset portfolio on December 31, 1970 would have increased to $25,497,300 by December 31, 1983. By comparison, $1,000,000 invested in the NYSE-AMEX Index would have increased to $3,729,600 on December 31, 1983. The net current asset portfolio's exceptional performance over the entire 13 years was not consistent over smaller subsets of time within the 13-year period. For the three-year period, December 31, 1970 through December 31, 1973, which represents 23% of the 13-year study period, the mean annual return from the net current asset portfolio was .6% per year as compared to 4.6% per year for the NYSE-AMEX Index.

The study also examined the investment results from the net current asset companies which operated at a loss (about one-third of the entire sample of firms) as compared to the investment results of the net current asset companies which operated profitably. The firms operating at a loss had slightly higher investment returns than the firms with positive earnings: 31.3% per year for the unprofitable companies versus 28.9% per year for the profitable companies.


Further research by Tweedy, Browne has indicated that companies satisfying the net current asset criterion have not only enjoyed superior common stock performance over time but also have often been priced at significant discounts to "real world" estimates of the specific value that stockholders would probably receive in an actual sale or liquidation of the entire corporation. Net current asset value ascribes no value to a company's real estate and equipment, nor is any going concern value ascribed to prospective earning power from a company's sales base. When liquidation value appraisals are made, the estimated "haircut" on accounts receivable and inventory is often recouped or exceeded by the estimated value of a company's real estate and equipment. It is not uncommon to see informed investors, such as a company's own officers and directors or other corporations, accumulate the shares of a company priced in the stock market at less than 66% of net current asset value. The company itself is frequently a buyer of its own shares.


Common characteristics associated with stocks selling at less than 66% of net current asset value are low price/earnings ratios, low price/saIes ratios and low prices in relation to "normal" earnings; i.e., what the company would earn if it earned the average return on equity for a given industry or the average net income margin on sales for such industry. Current earnings are often depressed in relation to prior earnings. The stock price has often declined significantly from prior price levels, causing a shrinkage in a company's market capitalization.

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